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2013 Academy Award Film Predictions

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by Adam Ray Palmer (subscribe)
A film reviewer, a poem dabbler and an admirer of words. They are funny things aren't they? Words, where would we be without them? On TV probably.
Published February 10th 2013
Academy Award Winners Predictions!

As the Academy Awards ceremony looms on the 23rd February 2013, I have decided to make my predictions of the big six awards of the night.

In two weeks time, the stars and celebrities of the film industry will all meet under one roof to celebrate a fantastic year in cinema. In this article I will discuss the nominees and predict the winner of each category from the 'Big Six' awards of the night.

Best Supporting Actress
Nominees – Amy Adams, Sally Field, Anne Hathaway, Helen Hunt, Jackie Weaver

The five nominees here I feel are a list made up to support Anne Hathaway, in other words there are some fillers. Jackie Weaver is a surprise nomination because I think her part in Silver Linings Playbook is very minimal to coincide with her minimal performance. I believe Amy Adams' performance was good but worthy of an Oscar nomination is debateable. Sally Field and Helen Hunt were very good in their films respectively but Hathaway was just too much in Les Miserables for them to contend with. There is only one winner here with her dazzling display as Fantine and that is Anne Hathaway.

Winner Prediction: Anne Hathaway

Anne Hathaway
Wikimedia Commons

Best Supporting Actor
Nominees – Alan Arkin, Robert De Niro, Tommy Lee Jones, Christoph Waltz, Philip Seymour Hoffman

I found this category difficult to predict because I can narrow it down to three but after this, I was stuck for quite some time. The three who I think will go close are Robert De Niro, Tommy Lee Jones and Christoph Waltz. De Niro's role really impacted the narrative of Silver Linings Playbook and he had some very challenging scenes that he brilliantly acted. The same can be said for Tommy Lee Jones too. He had some difficult scenes with Daniel Day Lewis that he conveyed very well and sincere. However, I think Christoph Waltz will just nick the award for his role in Django Unchained as Schultz, the bounty hunter. He was charming, witty, funny and also sensitive. He displayed a variety of his acting talents to help bring the best out of him and the film. In addition, he has already won the Golden Globe in this category so he has an even stronger chance now.

Winner Prediction: Christoph Waltz

Christoph Waltz
Wikimedia Commons

Best Leading Actress
Nominees – Jessica Chastain, Jennifer Lawrence, Emmanuelle Riva, Quvenzhane Wallis, Naomi Watts

The leading actress nominees have all displayed great performances in each of their films, but I think this category can be narrowed down to the mighty one. I think Jessica will miss out due to Zero Dark Thirty picking up some negative comments throughout the industry due to some unsettling scenes. On a similar note, I think Wallis will miss out due to her film Beasts of the Southern Wild not being majorly backed for glory in other areas; it's still brilliant to be nominated. Riva and Watts are difficult to separate because both women portrayed their role admirably but Riva's film Amour, like BOTSW, will be overlooked for the big 'gongs' and The Impossible is possibly 'too Hollywood' so to speak for the big actress award in my opinion. However, Jennifer Lawrence nailed her portrayal in Silver Linings Playbook juggling the psychological issues of her role and also romancing Bradley Cooper's character too. Overall, she gets my vote.

Winner Prediction: Jennifer Lawrence

Jennifer Lawrence
Wikimedia Commons

Best Leading Actor
Nominees – Daniel Day Lewis, Bradley Cooper, Hugh Jackman, Joaquin Phoenix, Denzel Washington

The leading actor award has only ever been between two nominees. Reportedly, Joaquin Phoenix was the favourite to win the big award until he called the ceremony pointless (in a more derogatory way) and then the pendulum swung in the favour of Daniel Day Lewis. His portrayal of Lincoln shown just how good of an actor he is; not only did he need to act well but he also had to mimic one of the most famous figures in American history. Lewis nailed his role perfectly. Cooper, Jackman and Washington all provided solid and worthy performances of a nomination but Daniel Day Lewis stormed back on scene and for me, he will steal the big 'gong' away from them.

Winner Prediction: Daniel Day Lewis

Daniel Day-Lewis
Wikimedia Commons

Best Director
Nominees – Michael Haneke, Ang Lee, David O Russell, Steven Spielberg, Benh Zeitlin

Similarly to the lead actor award, I think this category is a race between two nominees. The first nominee being Steven Spielberg. Spielberg's Lincoln is an epic story of Abraham Lincoln and his time in office. Spielberg puts his skills to the test and directs a well-constructed movie that is very difficult to film at times as there is a lot of dialogue. The film however is entertaining throughout. The second nominee is Ang Lee. Lee's Life Of Pi is an adapted tale of a young man and a four animals stranded together. The film is very beautifully shot with many CGI action sequences that come together to make a stunning motion picture. In this category, my head says Spielberg but my heart says Lee; and I am going with my heart. I think Ang Lee may just pip Spielberg at the post because Life Of Pi is an arty film that the Academy will love (for example last years The Artist cleared up) so I think Ang could win again.

Winner Prediction: Ang Lee

Best Picture
Nominees – Amour, Argo, Beasts Of The Southern Wild, Django Unchained, Les Miserables, Lincoln, Life Of Pi, Silver Linings Playbook, Zero Dark Thirty

As I look at this list of nominations, I can immediately eliminate quite a few of them. Amour, Beasts of the Southern Wild, Django Unchained, Les Miserables, Silver Linings Playbook and Zero Dark Thirty I can all rule out because I don't think they have enough nominations or predicted wins on the night to warrant the Best Picture award. I would also like to rule out Argo, even though it has had Golden Globe and Guild Award success, I cannot see it winning this award because Ben Affleck isn't even nominated in the acting or directing categories. This leaves me with Lincoln and Life Of Pi, which I think the race will be very close. It is whether I go with Lincoln to win as I think Daniel Day Lewis will win Best Actor or whether I think Life Of Pi will win because I believe Ang Lee will win Best Director. I will go with Lincoln because I think Daniel Day Lewis' performance will carry the film to big success and his performance will warrant the Best Picture award along with good direction by Spielberg and a great cast presentation.

Winner Prediction: Lincoln

The Verdict
My verdict will be that I think Lincoln will do very well on the night with these awards, and I also think that Lincoln will get some smaller awards too. A special mention for Amour too as it is a brilliant movie that will certainly win Best Foreign film.

Check back to this article during/after the ceremony to see how I have done. In addition, message me your ideas and thoughts of how you think the night will unfold.
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Why? To see how you and I can do at predicting the Oscars!
When: Sunday 24th February 2013
Where: Hollywood
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